Poll Reveals Majority Blame Prime Minister Luís Montenegro for Political Crisis

Key Findings of the Recent Poll

In a recent survey conducted by CESOP - Universidade Católica Portuguesa for RTP, Antena 1, and Público, 51% of respondents identified Prime Minister Luís Montenegro as the main culprit behind the ongoing political crisis.

Who Else is Blamed?

• 20% of participants pointed to Pedro Nuno Santos.
• 5% blamed André Ventura.
• 4% held Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa responsible.

Montenegro's Controversy

When asked if Luís Montenegro provided adequate clarification regarding the controversy surrounding his company, Spinumviva, a significant 69% responded negatively, while only 25% felt he had done enough.

• 60% disapproved of Montenegro keeping the company within his family while serving as Prime Minister, compared to 32% who believed it was appropriate.

Confidence Motion and Public Opinion

Regarding Montenegro's decision to present a motion of confidence that led to the government's downfall:

• 57% thought it would have been better not to present it.
• 37% supported his decision.

Opinions were split on whether the Socialist Party (PS) made the right choice in voting against the motion:

• 47% agreed with their decision, while 46% believed it would have been better to let it pass.

Future Solutions

When asked about the best solution for the country:

• 47% favored the dissolution of the Assembly of the Republic and new elections.
• 46% preferred the resignation of Luís Montenegro and the appointment of another PSD Prime Minister.

Political Landscape

Finally, 39% of participants believed that the Socialist Party was the most eager to enter these elections, while 24% thought it was the Democratic Alliance and 23% believed it was Chega.

Technical Details

This survey was conducted from March 17 to 26, 2025, with a sample of 1206 valid responses, representing a diverse demographic across various regions of Portugal. The margin of error is 2.8% with a 95% confidence level.